Scottish Championship
Dixon-Coles model — fitted 16 Mar 2026 on 1,018 matches since 2020-01-01
Home Advantage (γ)
1.1473
>1 = home favoured
ρ (rho)
-0.15861
low-score correction
Teams modelled
21
Log-likelihood
-252
Team Parameters
Attack (α) — normalised attacking strength; mean ≈ 1.0. Defense (β) — defensive weakness; lower = harder to score against.
| # | Team | Attack (α) | Defense (β) | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hearts | 1.7037 | 0.8513 | 27 |
| 2 | Falkirk | 1.5467 | 0.9791 | 36 |
| 3 | Dundee United | 1.5327 | 0.6903 | 45 |
| 4 | St Johnstone | 1.3642 | 0.9233 | 24 |
| 5 | Dundee | 1.3389 | 1.1410 | 71 |
| 6 | Livingston | 1.2100 | 0.7362 | 36 |
| 7 | Partick | 1.1125 | 1.1259 | 176 |
| 8 | Ayr | 1.0889 | 1.2290 | 202 |
| 9 | Kilmarnock | 1.0631 | 0.7632 | 36 |
| 10 | Arbroath | 0.9866 | 1.2920 | 166 |
| 11 | Raith Rvs | 0.9663 | 1.0818 | 196 |
| 12 | Inverness C | 0.9281 | 1.0434 | 143 |
| 13 | Alloa | 0.8880 | 1.9123 | 36 |
| 14 | Queens Park | 0.8420 | 1.5714 | 131 |
| 15 | Morton | 0.8404 | 1.2168 | 206 |
| 16 | Dunfermline | 0.8233 | 1.1160 | 167 |
| 17 | Queen of Sth | 0.8213 | 1.4558 | 73 |
| 18 | Hamilton | 0.7800 | 1.5992 | 108 |
| 19 | Ross County | 0.6789 | 1.5166 | 24 |
| 20 | Cove Rangers | 0.6686 | 1.9593 | 36 |
| 21 | Airdrie Utd | 0.6535 | 1.2316 | 97 |