Eliteserien
Dixon-Coles model — fitted 16 Mar 2026 on 354 matches since 2020-01-01
Home Advantage (γ)
1.4117
>1 = home favoured
ρ (rho)
0.01032
low-score correction
Teams modelled
18
Log-likelihood
-274
Team Parameters
Attack (α) — normalised attacking strength; mean ≈ 1.0. Defense (β) — defensive weakness; lower = harder to score against.
| # | Team | Attack (α) | Defense (β) | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bodø / Glimt | 1.9802 | 0.7684 | 43 |
| 2 | Viking | 1.7289 | 0.9203 | 45 |
| 3 | Brann | 1.3159 | 1.1228 | 43 |
| 4 | Tromsø | 1.2514 | 0.8280 | 44 |
| 5 | Sandefjord | 1.2425 | 1.0163 | 44 |
| 6 | Molde | 1.1841 | 0.9584 | 44 |
| 7 | Vålerenga | 1.1789 | 1.3669 | 30 |
| 8 | Sarpsborg 08 | 1.1153 | 1.3063 | 44 |
| 9 | Rosenborg | 1.0790 | 1.0736 | 46 |
| 10 | HamKam | 1.0672 | 1.0667 | 45 |
| 11 | KFUM | 0.8807 | 1.0031 | 44 |
| 12 | Bryne | 0.8676 | 1.3860 | 30 |
| 13 | Kristiansund | 0.8578 | 1.5137 | 44 |
| 14 | Strømsgodset | 0.8516 | 1.7699 | 44 |
| 15 | Fredrikstad | 0.8027 | 1.0130 | 45 |
| 16 | Lillestrøm | 0.6489 | 1.8311 | 15 |
| 17 | Haugesund | 0.6217 | 1.9095 | 45 |
| 18 | Hoddesdon Town | 0.4406 | 1.3955 | 13 |