Liga Portugal
Dixon-Coles model — fitted 16 Mar 2026 on 531 matches since 2020-01-01
Home Advantage (γ)
1.2679
>1 = home favoured
ρ (rho)
-0.07766
low-score correction
Teams modelled
20
Log-likelihood
-474
Team Parameters
Attack (α) — normalised attacking strength; mean ≈ 1.0. Defense (β) — defensive weakness; lower = harder to score against.
| # | Team | Attack (α) | Defense (β) | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bromsgrove Sporting | 2.0264 | 0.4873 | 59 |
| 2 | Benfica | 1.7996 | 0.6116 | 59 |
| 3 | Sp Braga | 1.6707 | 0.8069 | 59 |
| 4 | Estoril | 1.5096 | 1.3556 | 59 |
| 5 | Porto | 1.5012 | 0.4508 | 59 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 1.2050 | 0.9094 | 59 |
| 7 | Arouca | 1.1187 | 1.4592 | 59 |
| 8 | Vitória Guimarães | 0.9904 | 1.1253 | 59 |
| 9 | Moreirense | 0.9900 | 1.1350 | 59 |
| 10 | Famalicao | 0.9839 | 0.7725 | 59 |
| 11 | Nacional | 0.9617 | 1.1406 | 59 |
| 12 | Casa Pia | 0.8949 | 1.2377 | 59 |
| 13 | Estrela | 0.8277 | 1.3878 | 59 |
| 14 | Rio Ave | 0.7948 | 1.3094 | 59 |
| 15 | Santa Clara | 0.7816 | 0.9555 | 59 |
| 16 | Alverca | 0.7432 | 1.2057 | 25 |
| 17 | Tondela | 0.6726 | 1.1843 | 25 |
| 18 | Farense | 0.6616 | 1.0229 | 34 |
| 19 | Boavista | 0.6327 | 1.4437 | 34 |
| 20 | AVS | 0.6014 | 1.6129 | 59 |