⚽ FootballData
Dixon-Coles/Süper Lig

Süper Lig

Dixon-Coles model — fitted 16 Mar 2026 on 2,455 matches since 2020-01-01

Home Advantage (γ)
1.1482
>1 = home favoured
ρ (rho)
-0.25181
low-score correction
Teams modelled
36
Log-likelihood
-682

Team Parameters

Attack (α) — normalised attacking strength; mean ≈ 1.0. Defense (β) — defensive weakness; lower = harder to score against.

#TeamAttack (α)Defense (β)Matches
1Galatasaray
2.1000
0.6063
243
2Fenerbahce
2.0704
0.8949
243
3Trabzonspor
1.8234
1.0313
243
4İstanbul Başakşehir
1.6466
1.0133
61
5Besiktas
1.6257
0.8575
244
6Buyuksehyr
1.5766
1.0440
227
7Rizespor
1.2549
1.1620
208
8Hatayspor
1.2042
1.6443
196
9Goztep
1.1198
0.6365
153
10Gaziantep
1.0970
1.2574
243
11Alanyaspor
1.0400
0.9653
242
12Göztepe
1.0367
0.7479
61
13Kasimpasa
1.0070
1.2016
227
14Samsunspor
1.0060
0.9814
113
15Sivasspor
0.9900
1.2727
213
16Umraniyespor
0.9807
1.4102
36
17Ad. Demirspor
0.9677
1.9176
156
18Konyaspor
0.9591
1.0394
243
19Giresunspor
0.9483
1.1826
74
20Kasımpaşa
0.9414
1.1793
61
21Genclerbirligi
0.9408
0.9941
87
22Ankaragucu
0.9265
1.1116
131
23Erzurum BB
0.9147
1.0771
40
24Karagumruk
0.8951
1.3972
174
25Denizlispor
0.8680
1.1366
57
26Kayserispor
0.8678
1.2268
245
27Eyupspor
0.8484
1.0602
74
28Pendikspor
0.8472
1.4196
38
29Fatih Karagümrük
0.8284
1.3324
25
30Altay
0.7794
1.1346
38
31Antalyaspor
0.7599
1.1822
244
32Kocaelispor
0.7124
0.6534
29
33Yeni Malatyaspor
0.6333
1.5059
95
34Bodrumspor
0.5996
0.8570
36
35Bodrum FK
0.5985
0.8576
36
36Istanbulspor
0.5968
1.6446
74