Scottish Premiership
Dixon-Coles model — fitted 16 Mar 2026 on 1,372 matches since 2020-01-01
Home Advantage (γ)
1.3392
>1 = home favoured
ρ (rho)
-0.05162
low-score correction
Teams modelled
15
Log-likelihood
-397
Team Parameters
Attack (α) — normalised attacking strength; mean ≈ 1.0. Defense (β) — defensive weakness; lower = harder to score against.
| # | Team | Attack (α) | Defense (β) | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 1.6402 | 0.8776 | 229 |
| 2 | Rangers | 1.4720 | 0.7350 | 230 |
| 3 | Hibernian | 1.3365 | 0.9754 | 228 |
| 4 | Hearts | 1.2347 | 0.7111 | 190 |
| 5 | Motherwell | 1.1756 | 0.7040 | 228 |
| 6 | Falkirk | 0.9856 | 0.9203 | 29 |
| 7 | Kilmarnock | 0.9552 | 1.6105 | 190 |
| 8 | Dundee | 0.9534 | 1.3520 | 144 |
| 9 | Hamilton | 0.9426 | 1.0010 | 47 |
| 10 | Dundee United | 0.9365 | 1.2629 | 182 |
| 11 | Livingston | 0.8548 | 1.6140 | 190 |
| 12 | Aberdeen | 0.8287 | 1.1588 | 228 |
| 13 | Ross County | 0.7667 | 1.3854 | 200 |
| 14 | St Mirren | 0.7080 | 1.2257 | 229 |
| 15 | St Johnstone | 0.7008 | 1.3326 | 200 |