Scottish League Two
Dixon-Coles model — fitted 16 Mar 2026 on 994 matches since 2020-01-01
Home Advantage (γ)
0.9321
>1 = home favoured
ρ (rho)
-0.17941
low-score correction
Teams modelled
20
Log-likelihood
-264
Team Parameters
Attack (α) — normalised attacking strength; mean ≈ 1.0. Defense (β) — defensive weakness; lower = harder to score against.
| # | Team | Attack (α) | Defense (β) | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | East Kilbride | 1.5162 | 1.5506 | 25 |
| 2 | Queens Park | 1.3962 | 0.7993 | 32 |
| 3 | Kelty Hearts | 1.3533 | 0.7813 | 36 |
| 4 | Spartans | 1.1697 | 1.1337 | 95 |
| 5 | East Fife | 1.1690 | 1.0835 | 108 |
| 6 | Clyde | 1.1620 | 1.0710 | 95 |
| 7 | Peterhead | 1.1189 | 1.1749 | 72 |
| 8 | Edinburgh City | 1.0803 | 1.6179 | 127 |
| 9 | Elgin | 1.0489 | 1.6336 | 198 |
| 10 | Stirling | 0.9928 | 1.5707 | 163 |
| 11 | Stenhousemuir | 0.9570 | 1.0144 | 140 |
| 12 | Annan Athletic | 0.9564 | 1.3991 | 126 |
| 13 | Albion Rvs | 0.9453 | 1.4607 | 103 |
| 14 | Forfar | 0.9446 | 1.4145 | 167 |
| 15 | Dumbarton | 0.9181 | 1.7867 | 95 |
| 16 | Stranraer | 0.9084 | 1.1328 | 189 |
| 17 | Cove Rangers | 0.8747 | 1.0129 | 10 |
| 18 | Bonnyrigg Rose | 0.8482 | 1.6264 | 108 |
| 19 | Cowdenbeath | 0.6002 | 1.2980 | 68 |
| 20 | Brechin | 0.5749 | 2.1169 | 31 |