La Liga 2
Dixon-Coles model — fitted 16 Mar 2026 on 2,935 matches since 2020-01-01
Home Advantage (γ)
1.2652
>1 = home favoured
ρ (rho)
0.00991
low-score correction
Teams modelled
47
Log-likelihood
-823
Team Parameters
Attack (α) — normalised attacking strength; mean ≈ 1.0. Defense (β) — defensive weakness; lower = harder to score against.
| # | Team | Attack (α) | Defense (β) | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Santander | 1.6423 | 1.0716 | 180 |
| 2 | Almeria | 1.5937 | 1.0920 | 181 |
| 3 | Castellon | 1.5822 | 1.0454 | 117 |
| 4 | Levante | 1.3819 | 0.7957 | 128 |
| 5 | Sociedad | 1.3249 | 1.1185 | 29 |
| 6 | Cordoba | 1.2946 | 1.1847 | 75 |
| 7 | Malaga | 1.2553 | 0.9351 | 222 |
| 8 | Elche | 1.2438 | 0.7178 | 106 |
| 9 | Sp Gijon | 1.2318 | 1.0923 | 257 |
| 10 | Ceuta | 1.1600 | 1.2044 | 31 |
| 11 | La Coruna | 1.1548 | 0.9687 | 96 |
| 12 | Sporting Gijón | 1.1507 | 1.0740 | 71 |
| 13 | Sociedad B | 1.1411 | 1.0855 | 68 |
| 14 | Oviedo | 1.1404 | 0.7564 | 235 |
| 15 | Espanol | 1.1243 | 0.7858 | 83 |
| 16 | Granada | 1.1240 | 0.8686 | 118 |
| 17 | Las Palmas | 1.1162 | 0.6024 | 177 |
| 18 | Girona | 1.0752 | 0.9146 | 104 |
| 19 | Andorra | 1.0152 | 1.0595 | 115 |
| 20 | Vallecano | 1.0145 | 0.9824 | 63 |
| 21 | Mallorca | 1.0052 | 0.9678 | 41 |
| 22 | Extremadura UD | 0.9963 | 1.0035 | 21 |
| 23 | Cadiz | 0.9939 | 1.0897 | 96 |
| 24 | Numancia | 0.9930 | 1.0049 | 21 |
| 25 | Valladolid | 0.9849 | 1.2385 | 113 |
| 26 | Albacete | 0.9840 | 0.9662 | 221 |
| 27 | Sabadell | 0.9838 | 0.9967 | 42 |
| 28 | Mirandes | 0.9735 | 1.1543 | 267 |
| 29 | Logrones | 0.9520 | 1.0117 | 42 |
| 30 | Fuenlabrada | 0.9476 | 1.2689 | 102 |
| 31 | Ponferradina | 0.9459 | 1.1321 | 145 |
| 32 | Alaves | 0.9442 | 0.6361 | 42 |
| 33 | Eibar | 0.9363 | 0.7261 | 200 |
| 34 | Eldense | 0.9291 | 1.2205 | 85 |
| 35 | Burgos | 0.8926 | 0.7331 | 200 |
| 36 | Villarreal B | 0.8750 | 1.2969 | 84 |
| 37 | Leganes | 0.8591 | 0.7670 | 199 |
| 38 | Huesca | 0.8545 | 1.0177 | 220 |
| 39 | Cartagena | 0.8142 | 1.4562 | 210 |
| 40 | Zaragoza | 0.8060 | 1.0878 | 262 |
| 41 | Cultural Leonesa | 0.7943 | 1.3594 | 32 |
| 42 | Amorebieta | 0.7896 | 1.1000 | 83 |
| 43 | Tenerife | 0.7789 | 0.9408 | 230 |
| 44 | Ibiza | 0.7651 | 1.3704 | 81 |
| 45 | Alcorcon | 0.6504 | 1.0372 | 145 |
| 46 | Lugo | 0.5595 | 1.1854 | 144 |
| 47 | Ferrol | 0.5139 | 1.2254 | 86 |