Pro League
Dixon-Coles model — fitted 16 Mar 2026 on 530 matches since 2020-01-01
Home Advantage (γ)
1.1069
>1 = home favoured
ρ (rho)
-0.03734
low-score correction
Teams modelled
18
Log-likelihood
-478
Team Parameters
Attack (α) — normalised attacking strength; mean ≈ 1.0. Defense (β) — defensive weakness; lower = harder to score against.
| # | Team | Attack (α) | Defense (β) | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Brugge | 1.6089 | 1.1263 | 68 |
| 2 | Sint-Truiden | 1.2683 | 1.1709 | 63 |
| 3 | Union Berlin | 1.2150 | 0.5343 | 67 |
| 4 | Genk | 1.1919 | 1.2755 | 67 |
| 5 | Anderlecht | 1.1823 | 1.1502 | 67 |
| 6 | Gent | 1.1801 | 1.4721 | 67 |
| 7 | Charleroi | 1.0897 | 1.2946 | 68 |
| 8 | Mechelen | 1.0700 | 1.2098 | 67 |
| 9 | Waregem | 1.0525 | 1.5585 | 28 |
| 10 | Westerlo | 0.9980 | 1.2073 | 68 |
| 11 | Kortrijk | 0.9785 | 1.5323 | 35 |
| 12 | Cercle Brugge | 0.9546 | 1.3685 | 63 |
| 13 | Antwerp | 0.8556 | 0.9890 | 67 |
| 14 | Oud-Heverlee Leuven | 0.8544 | 1.2916 | 68 |
| 15 | K. Beerschot V.A. | 0.8438 | 1.6374 | 35 |
| 16 | Dender | 0.8050 | 1.5747 | 67 |
| 17 | Standard | 0.6773 | 1.0209 | 67 |
| 18 | La Louvière | 0.6303 | 1.0107 | 28 |