Jupiler Pro League
Dixon-Coles model — fitted 16 Mar 2026 on 1,807 matches since 2020-01-01
Home Advantage (γ)
1.1410
>1 = home favoured
ρ (rho)
-0.05840
low-score correction
Teams modelled
24
Log-likelihood
-432
Team Parameters
Attack (α) — normalised attacking strength; mean ≈ 1.0. Defense (β) — defensive weakness; lower = harder to score against.
| # | Team | Attack (α) | Defense (β) | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Brugge | 1.7699 | 0.9814 | 216 |
| 2 | Gent | 1.3974 | 1.3119 | 216 |
| 3 | St. Gilloise | 1.3701 | 0.4843 | 173 |
| 4 | St Truiden | 1.3426 | 1.0693 | 211 |
| 5 | Genk | 1.2943 | 1.1026 | 216 |
| 6 | Charleroi | 1.2432 | 1.0752 | 212 |
| 7 | Waregem | 1.1955 | 1.2633 | 135 |
| 8 | Cercle Brugge | 1.1591 | 1.3320 | 211 |
| 9 | Mechelen | 1.1510 | 1.0670 | 215 |
| 10 | Westerlo | 1.1352 | 1.2133 | 138 |
| 11 | Anderlecht | 1.0399 | 0.9769 | 215 |
| 12 | Kortrijk | 0.9824 | 1.3849 | 182 |
| 13 | Antwerp | 0.9718 | 0.9361 | 215 |
| 14 | Oud-Heverlee Leuven | 0.9405 | 1.1028 | 207 |
| 15 | Waasland-Beveren | 0.9232 | 1.8031 | 42 |
| 16 | Beerschot VA | 0.8999 | 1.4671 | 104 |
| 17 | Dender | 0.8947 | 1.3893 | 65 |
| 18 | RWD Molenbeek | 0.8694 | 1.8736 | 36 |
| 19 | Oostende | 0.8684 | 1.8800 | 110 |
| 20 | Mouscron | 0.7802 | 1.3866 | 42 |
| 21 | RAAL La Louviere | 0.7715 | 0.8985 | 25 |
| 22 | Standard | 0.6707 | 1.0145 | 214 |
| 23 | Seraing | 0.6210 | 1.6843 | 68 |
| 24 | Eupen | 0.5743 | 1.4844 | 146 |