La Liga
Dixon-Coles model — fitted 16 Mar 2026 on 2,472 matches since 2020-01-01
Home Advantage (γ)
1.3448
>1 = home favoured
ρ (rho)
-0.02130
low-score correction
Teams modelled
30
Log-likelihood
-706
Team Parameters
Attack (α) — normalised attacking strength; mean ≈ 1.0. Defense (β) — defensive weakness; lower = harder to score against.
| # | Team | Attack (α) | Defense (β) | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 2.2118 | 0.7547 | 242 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 1.8061 | 0.6804 | 242 |
| 3 | Villarreal | 1.5434 | 0.9276 | 240 |
| 4 | Ath Madrid | 1.3341 | 0.7159 | 242 |
| 5 | Betis | 1.2921 | 1.0365 | 245 |
| 6 | Celta | 1.2455 | 0.8590 | 241 |
| 7 | Sociedad | 1.2208 | 1.0758 | 243 |
| 8 | Osasuna | 1.1063 | 0.9046 | 241 |
| 9 | Sevilla | 1.0999 | 1.2383 | 242 |
| 10 | Almeria | 1.0979 | 1.3790 | 76 |
| 11 | Elche | 1.0848 | 1.2301 | 143 |
| 12 | Espanol | 1.0587 | 1.2159 | 166 |
| 13 | Ath Bilbao | 1.0353 | 0.9540 | 234 |
| 14 | Mallorca | 1.0019 | 1.1056 | 207 |
| 15 | Crowborough Athletic | 0.9948 | 0.9185 | 65 |
| 16 | Girona | 0.9603 | 1.1039 | 145 |
| 17 | Huesca | 0.9436 | 1.0007 | 36 |
| 18 | Eibar | 0.9413 | 1.0009 | 57 |
| 19 | Valencia | 0.9329 | 1.0411 | 243 |
| 20 | Leganes | 0.9293 | 1.1130 | 62 |
| 21 | Levante | 0.8968 | 1.2737 | 123 |
| 22 | Vallecano | 0.8926 | 0.8990 | 182 |
| 23 | Granada | 0.8052 | 1.5747 | 130 |
| 24 | Deportivo Alavés | 0.7965 | 1.0494 | 65 |
| 25 | Las Palmas | 0.7887 | 1.1930 | 80 |
| 26 | Getafe | 0.7698 | 0.7381 | 241 |
| 27 | Alaves | 0.7555 | 0.9202 | 196 |
| 28 | Oviedo | 0.6228 | 1.1541 | 31 |
| 29 | Valladolid | 0.6192 | 1.8987 | 135 |
| 30 | Cadiz | 0.5820 | 1.0843 | 149 |