Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.0%
Almeria
23.0%
Draw
32.0%
Sevilla
Expected Goals (xG)
1.83
Almeria
vs
1.52
Sevilla
Markets
BTTS65.7%
Over 0.596.3%
Over 1.584.9%
Over 2.565.0%
Over 3.543.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.0%
2-1
8.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-2
6.8%
1-0
6.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.4%
0-1
5.1%
3-2
4.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.7%
0-0
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).