Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.1%
GAIS
23.5%
Draw
17.4%
Elfsborg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.98
GAIS
vs
1.00
Elfsborg
Markets
BTTS55.6%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.580.9%
Over 2.557.3%
Over 3.534.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.1%
2-1
10.0%
2-0
9.9%
1-0
9.0%
3-1
6.6%
3-0
6.6%
0-0
6.1%
1-2
5.0%
2-2
5.0%
0-1
4.0%
3-2
3.3%
4-1
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).