Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →68.3%
Chesterfield
17.9%
Draw
13.8%
Bristol Rvs
Expected Goals (xG)
2.22
Chesterfield
vs
0.88
Bristol Rvs
Markets
BTTS51.6%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.581.1%
Over 2.559.8%
Over 3.537.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
1-1
8.4%
3-0
8.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-0
4.6%
0-1
4.3%
2-2
4.3%
0-0
4.2%
4-1
4.0%
1-2
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).