Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.8%
Nottingham Forest
30.7%
Draw
34.5%
Leeds
Expected Goals (xG)
1.25
Nottingham Forest
vs
1.24
Leeds
Markets
BTTS52.4%
Over 0.589.9%
Over 1.572.7%
Over 2.545.2%
Over 3.523.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.6%
0-0
10.1%
1-0
8.6%
0-1
8.5%
2-1
8.0%
1-2
8.0%
2-0
6.5%
0-2
6.4%
2-2
5.0%
3-1
3.3%
1-3
3.3%
3-0
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).