Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →16.5%
Genk
26.3%
Draw
57.2%
Union Berlin
Expected Goals (xG)
0.70
Genk
vs
1.55
Union Berlin
Markets
BTTS40.3%
Over 0.589.1%
Over 1.566.3%
Over 2.539.2%
Over 3.519.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.8%
0-2
12.6%
1-1
11.9%
0-0
10.9%
1-2
8.9%
1-0
7.0%
0-3
6.5%
1-3
4.6%
2-1
4.0%
2-2
3.1%
2-0
2.6%
0-4
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).