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AHT: 22CSV

06 Jun 2020 · 12:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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29.9%
Wehen
27.6%
Draw
42.5%
Dresden

Expected Goals (xG)

1.24

Wehen

vs
1.51

Dresden

Markets

BTTS56.5%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.577.2%
Over 2.551.9%
Over 3.529.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.1%
1-2
9.1%
0-1
8.5%
0-0
7.6%
2-1
7.4%
0-2
7.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-2
5.6%
2-0
4.9%
1-3
4.6%
0-3
3.7%
3-1
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).