Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.6%
Fulham
27.6%
Draw
26.8%
Nott'm Forest
Expected Goals (xG)
1.50
Fulham
vs
1.09
Nott'm Forest
Markets
BTTS52.5%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.574.0%
Over 2.547.9%
Over 3.526.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.2%
2-0
8.4%
0-0
8.4%
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-2
5.0%
3-1
4.6%
0-2
4.5%
3-0
4.2%
3-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).