Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →3.6%
Yeni Malatyaspor
12.3%
Draw
84.1%
Fenerbahce
Expected Goals (xG)
0.65
Yeni Malatyaspor
vs
3.12
Fenerbahce
Markets
BTTS46.9%
Over 0.596.5%
Over 1.590.2%
Over 2.572.6%
Over 3.552.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-3
11.7%
0-2
11.2%
0-4
9.1%
1-3
7.6%
1-2
7.3%
0-1
6.0%
1-4
5.9%
1-1
5.9%
0-5
5.7%
1-5
3.7%
0-0
3.5%
2-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).