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05 Oct 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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33.1%
Yeovil
31.1%
Draw
35.8%
Dag and Red

Expected Goals (xG)

1.09

Yeovil

vs
1.14

Dag and Red

Markets

BTTS46.2%
Over 0.588.1%
Over 1.566.4%
Over 2.538.5%
Over 3.518.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.5%
0-0
11.9%
0-1
11.2%
1-0
10.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-1
7.3%
0-2
7.0%
2-0
6.4%
2-2
4.1%
1-3
2.9%
0-3
2.7%
3-1
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).