Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.7%
Fatih Karagümrük
28.9%
Draw
36.4%
Hatayspor
Expected Goals (xG)
1.56
Fatih Karagümrük
vs
1.60
Hatayspor
Markets
BTTS65.8%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.585.1%
Over 2.561.3%
Over 3.539.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
8.3%
0-0
6.9%
2-2
6.6%
0-2
5.4%
2-0
5.1%
1-3
4.5%
3-1
4.3%
0-1
4.1%
1-0
3.9%
2-3
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).