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05 May 2024 · 15:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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39.8%
Andorra
28.0%
Draw
32.2%
Albacete

Expected Goals (xG)

1.22

Andorra

vs
1.07

Albacete

Markets

BTTS46.3%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.566.7%
Over 2.540.3%
Over 3.520.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.1%
1-0
12.5%
0-1
10.9%
0-0
9.9%
2-1
8.1%
2-0
7.6%
1-2
7.1%
0-2
5.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-1
3.3%
3-0
3.1%
1-3
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).