Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.6%
Almeria
25.4%
Draw
23.0%
Leganes
Expected Goals (xG)
1.55
Almeria
vs
0.94
Leganes
Markets
BTTS47.8%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.570.8%
Over 2.545.2%
Over 3.523.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.0%
1-1
12.0%
2-0
10.0%
2-1
9.4%
0-0
8.2%
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.7%
3-0
5.1%
3-1
4.8%
2-2
4.4%
0-2
3.7%
3-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).