Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.0%
Accrington
25.2%
Draw
39.8%
Fleetwood Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.17
Accrington
vs
1.27
Fleetwood Town
Markets
BTTS48.5%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.568.9%
Over 2.544.0%
Over 3.522.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.2%
1-1
11.9%
1-0
11.3%
1-2
8.2%
0-0
7.7%
2-1
7.6%
0-2
7.0%
2-0
6.0%
2-2
4.8%
1-3
3.5%
0-3
3.0%
3-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).