Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →4.7%
Darmstadt
11.9%
Draw
83.4%
Dortmund
Expected Goals (xG)
0.61
Darmstadt
vs
2.91
Dortmund
Markets
BTTS43.7%
Over 0.596.6%
Over 1.587.0%
Over 2.568.3%
Over 3.546.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
12.5%
0-3
12.1%
0-4
8.8%
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.7%
1-3
7.4%
1-1
5.7%
1-4
5.4%
0-5
5.1%
0-0
3.4%
1-5
3.1%
2-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).