Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.8%
Bielefeld
30.7%
Draw
40.6%
Freiburg
Expected Goals (xG)
0.99
Bielefeld
vs
1.23
Freiburg
Markets
BTTS45.6%
Over 0.588.2%
Over 1.566.1%
Over 2.538.4%
Over 3.518.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.2%
0-1
12.3%
0-0
11.8%
1-0
9.8%
0-2
8.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-1
6.6%
2-0
5.3%
2-2
4.0%
0-3
3.4%
1-3
3.3%
3-1
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).