Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.6%
Villarreal B
29.5%
Draw
45.9%
Eibar
Expected Goals (xG)
0.80
Villarreal B
vs
1.21
Eibar
Markets
BTTS38.7%
Over 0.586.8%
Over 1.559.8%
Over 2.532.8%
Over 3.514.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.3%
0-0
13.2%
1-1
12.8%
1-0
10.8%
0-2
9.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-1
5.2%
2-0
4.3%
0-3
4.0%
1-3
3.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-1
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).