Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.1%
Andorra
23.4%
Draw
44.5%
Almeria
Expected Goals (xG)
1.40
Andorra
vs
1.69
Almeria
Markets
BTTS61.4%
Over 0.595.6%
Over 1.581.3%
Over 2.559.7%
Over 3.537.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.7%
1-2
9.1%
0-1
7.8%
2-1
7.5%
1-0
6.5%
0-2
6.5%
2-2
6.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-0
4.5%
0-0
4.4%
0-3
3.6%
2-3
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).