Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.9%
Southampton
20.0%
Draw
18.0%
Leicester
Expected Goals (xG)
2.38
Southampton
vs
1.25
Leicester
Markets
BTTS65.3%
Over 0.596.7%
Over 1.588.4%
Over 2.570.2%
Over 3.549.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.5%
3-0
6.0%
2-2
5.9%
1-0
5.7%
1-2
4.9%
3-2
4.6%
4-1
4.4%
4-0
3.6%
0-0
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).