Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.4%
Ternana
29.9%
Draw
28.7%
Spal
Expected Goals (xG)
1.33
Ternana
vs
1.07
Spal
Markets
BTTS49.5%
Over 0.589.6%
Over 1.570.4%
Over 2.542.9%
Over 3.522.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.2%
1-0
10.8%
0-0
10.4%
2-1
8.6%
0-1
8.4%
2-0
8.0%
1-2
6.9%
0-2
5.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-1
3.8%
3-0
3.6%
1-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).