Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.8%
Tondela
27.0%
Draw
22.2%
AVS
Expected Goals (xG)
1.35
Tondela
vs
0.78
AVS
Markets
BTTS39.6%
Over 0.588.7%
Over 1.562.2%
Over 2.535.8%
Over 3.516.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.6%
1-1
12.0%
0-0
11.3%
2-0
10.8%
0-1
9.8%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
4.9%
3-0
4.9%
3-1
3.8%
0-2
3.6%
2-2
3.3%
4-0
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).