Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.4%
Ath Bilbao
33.3%
Draw
25.3%
Getafe
Expected Goals (xG)
1.03
Ath Bilbao
vs
0.73
Getafe
Markets
BTTS33.7%
Over 0.582.6%
Over 1.552.9%
Over 2.525.9%
Over 3.510.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
17.4%
1-0
17.4%
1-1
13.2%
0-1
12.3%
2-0
9.1%
2-1
6.7%
1-2
4.8%
0-2
4.6%
3-0
3.1%
2-2
2.4%
3-1
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).