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HHT: 20

10 Mar 2026 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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39.5%
Leicester
26.1%
Draw
34.4%
Bristol City

Expected Goals (xG)

1.53

Leicester

vs
1.42

Bristol City

Markets

BTTS60.3%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.580.2%
Over 2.556.7%
Over 3.534.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.2%
2-1
8.7%
1-2
8.1%
1-0
7.2%
0-1
6.6%
2-2
6.2%
2-0
6.1%
0-0
6.0%
0-2
5.3%
3-1
4.5%
1-3
3.8%
3-2
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).