Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →64.0%
Venezia
23.7%
Draw
12.3%
Sudtirol
Expected Goals (xG)
1.84
Venezia
vs
0.69
Sudtirol
Markets
BTTS42.9%
Over 0.591.0%
Over 1.572.9%
Over 2.546.4%
Over 3.524.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.7%
2-0
13.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-1
9.3%
0-0
9.0%
3-0
8.3%
3-1
5.7%
0-1
4.5%
4-0
3.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-2
3.2%
4-1
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).