Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →11.5%
Osnabruck
20.5%
Draw
67.9%
St Pauli
Expected Goals (xG)
0.79
Osnabruck
vs
2.16
St Pauli
Markets
BTTS49.2%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.580.2%
Over 2.556.6%
Over 3.534.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
12.2%
0-1
10.4%
1-1
9.8%
1-2
9.6%
0-3
8.8%
1-3
7.0%
0-0
6.1%
0-4
4.7%
2-2
3.8%
1-4
3.8%
2-1
3.5%
1-0
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).