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AHT: 01CSV

09 Mar 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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43.3%
Reading
24.2%
Draw
32.5%
Wycombe

Expected Goals (xG)

1.41

Reading

vs
1.18

Wycombe

Markets

BTTS51.3%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.572.0%
Over 2.547.9%
Over 3.526.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
11.6%
1-1
11.4%
0-1
9.9%
2-1
8.8%
2-0
7.5%
1-2
7.4%
0-0
6.5%
0-2
5.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-1
4.1%
3-0
3.5%
1-3
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).