Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.2%
Malaga
28.3%
Draw
32.5%
Oviedo
Expected Goals (xG)
1.20
Malaga
vs
1.07
Oviedo
Markets
BTTS45.7%
Over 0.589.8%
Over 1.566.0%
Over 2.539.5%
Over 3.519.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.1%
1-0
12.6%
0-1
11.2%
0-0
10.2%
2-1
8.0%
2-0
7.5%
1-2
7.1%
0-2
5.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-1
3.2%
3-0
3.0%
1-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).