Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →14.3%
Akron
32.5%
Draw
53.3%
Baltika Kaliningrad
Expected Goals (xG)
0.53
Akron
vs
1.26
Baltika Kaliningrad
Markets
BTTS30.8%
Over 0.582.0%
Over 1.554.8%
Over 2.526.7%
Over 3.510.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
19.7%
0-0
18.0%
0-2
13.3%
1-1
12.5%
1-0
7.5%
1-2
7.0%
0-3
5.6%
1-3
3.0%
2-1
2.9%
2-0
2.3%
2-2
1.9%
0-4
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).