Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.8%
Genoa
22.9%
Draw
53.3%
Juventus
Expected Goals (xG)
1.11
Genoa
vs
1.78
Juventus
Markets
BTTS55.6%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.578.2%
Over 2.555.2%
Over 3.532.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.8%
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.8%
0-2
8.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6.1%
1-3
5.8%
2-2
5.4%
0-0
5.4%
0-3
5.2%
2-0
3.4%
2-3
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).