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AHT: 02CSV

26 Dec 2019 · 13:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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21.8%
Mouscron
26.5%
Draw
51.8%
Mechelen

Expected Goals (xG)

0.95

Mouscron

vs
1.60

Mechelen

Markets

BTTS49.6%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.572.9%
Over 2.546.8%
Over 3.525.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.6%
0-1
11.8%
0-2
10.0%
1-2
9.5%
0-0
8.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.6%
0-3
5.3%
1-3
5.0%
2-2
4.5%
2-0
3.5%
2-3
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).