Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →73.9%
Hammarby
16.9%
Draw
9.3%
Norrköping
Expected Goals (xG)
2.57
Hammarby
vs
0.84
Norrköping
Markets
BTTS53.5%
Over 0.596.0%
Over 1.586.3%
Over 2.566.4%
Over 3.544.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.8%
3-0
9.3%
2-1
9.2%
1-1
7.9%
3-1
7.9%
1-0
7.7%
4-0
6.0%
4-1
5.1%
0-0
4.0%
2-2
3.9%
3-2
3.3%
5-0
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).