⚽ FootballData
3 – 2
HHT: 12CSV

15 Apr 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
35.4%
Dorking
27.4%
Draw
37.2%
Altrincham

Expected Goals (xG)

1.37

Dorking

vs
1.41

Altrincham

Markets

BTTS57.3%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.577.4%
Over 2.552.4%
Over 3.530.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.0%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
8.2%
0-1
7.8%
1-0
7.5%
0-0
7.3%
0-2
6.2%
2-0
5.8%
2-2
5.8%
1-3
4.0%
3-1
3.7%
0-3
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).