Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.3%
Borussia Mönchengladbach
26.7%
Draw
35.0%
Freiburg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.45
Borussia Mönchengladbach
vs
1.38
Freiburg
Markets
BTTS58.0%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.578.1%
Over 2.553.7%
Over 3.531.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.6%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
8.1%
1-0
7.8%
0-1
7.4%
0-0
6.7%
2-0
6.2%
2-2
5.9%
0-2
5.6%
3-1
4.1%
1-3
3.7%
3-0
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).