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23 Dec 2023 · 15:00

Morton

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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29.0%
Airdrie Utd
35.5%
Draw
35.5%
Morton

Expected Goals (xG)

0.91

Airdrie Utd

vs
1.03

Morton

Markets

BTTS40.7%
Over 0.583.6%
Over 1.560.1%
Over 2.530.9%
Over 3.513.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
16.4%
1-1
15.6%
0-1
12.6%
1-0
10.9%
0-2
7.6%
1-2
7.0%
2-1
6.1%
2-0
5.9%
2-2
3.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-3
2.4%
3-1
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).