Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.7%
Carrarese
27.5%
Draw
46.8%
Frosinone
Expected Goals (xG)
1.11
Carrarese
vs
1.57
Frosinone
Markets
BTTS54.3%
Over 0.592.0%
Over 1.575.9%
Over 2.550.1%
Over 3.528.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.1%
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.4%
0-2
8.5%
0-0
8.0%
2-1
6.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-2
5.2%
1-3
4.9%
0-3
4.4%
2-0
4.2%
2-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).