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15 Sept 2024 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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16.5%
Greuther Furth
20.0%
Draw
63.5%
Elversberg

Expected Goals (xG)

1.18

Greuther Furth

vs
2.39

Elversberg

Markets

BTTS63.6%
Over 0.596.4%
Over 1.587.9%
Over 2.569.1%
Over 3.547.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-2
9.5%
1-1
8.7%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
7.6%
0-3
6.4%
0-1
6.0%
2-2
5.6%
2-1
4.7%
1-4
4.5%
2-3
4.4%
0-4
3.8%
0-0
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).