Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →6.5%
Rio Ave
15.4%
Draw
78.1%
Porto
Expected Goals (xG)
0.45
Rio Ave
vs
2.20
Porto
Markets
BTTS32.1%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.574.0%
Over 2.549.5%
Over 3.527.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
17.0%
0-1
15.8%
0-3
12.5%
1-2
7.7%
0-4
6.9%
0-0
6.7%
1-1
6.7%
1-3
5.7%
1-0
3.5%
1-4
3.1%
0-5
3.0%
2-2
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).