Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.3%
Holstein Kiel
24.9%
Draw
36.9%
Augsburg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.63
Holstein Kiel
vs
1.60
Augsburg
Markets
BTTS64.9%
Over 0.595.3%
Over 1.584.0%
Over 2.562.6%
Over 3.540.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.1%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-2
6.7%
1-0
5.7%
0-1
5.5%
2-0
5.3%
0-2
5.1%
0-0
4.7%
3-1
4.6%
1-3
4.4%
3-2
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).