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Forfar

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AHT: 01CSV

02 Jan 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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14.8%
Forfar
23.6%
Draw
61.7%
Arbroath

Expected Goals (xG)

0.78

Forfar

vs
1.84

Arbroath

Markets

BTTS46.4%
Over 0.592.0%
Over 1.574.4%
Over 2.548.7%
Over 3.526.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
12.7%
0-2
12.3%
1-1
11.2%
1-2
9.6%
0-0
8.0%
0-3
7.5%
1-3
5.9%
1-0
5.0%
2-1
4.1%
2-2
3.8%
0-4
3.5%
1-4
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).