Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.5%
Cambridge
26.9%
Draw
30.6%
Northampton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.20
Cambridge
vs
0.97
Northampton
Markets
BTTS42.2%
Over 0.589.7%
Over 1.562.7%
Over 2.536.9%
Over 3.517.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.9%
1-1
12.2%
0-1
12.2%
0-0
10.3%
2-0
8.3%
2-1
8.0%
1-2
6.4%
0-2
5.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-0
3.3%
3-1
3.2%
1-3
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).