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26 Dec 2019 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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36.7%
Macclesfield
28.6%
Draw
34.6%
Grimsby

Expected Goals (xG)

1.08

Macclesfield

vs
1.04

Grimsby

Markets

BTTS42.3%
Over 0.588.6%
Over 1.562.2%
Over 2.535.8%
Over 3.516.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
13.5%
0-1
13.0%
1-1
12.9%
0-0
11.4%
2-1
7.3%
1-2
7.0%
2-0
7.0%
0-2
6.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-1
2.6%
3-0
2.5%
1-3
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).